Gameweek 14 was another interesting round of fixtures with plenty of developments and implications for our Fantasy Premier League teams.
It was business as usual for Manchester City, Arsenal and the increasingly impressive Newcastle United, but Liverpool suffered another shock defeat, this time against Leeds United.
But what does that mean for our FPL prospects?
Instead of Ivan Toni
There was a big conversation Ivan Toney (£7.5m) Brentford’s goals in a 1-1 draw against Wolves earned him his fifth yellow card. This means he now misses Gameweek 15, which will be a very strong match against Nottingham Forest.
It will be his last competitive game until the World Cup, when Brentford play Manchester City in Gameweek 16. So Tony has definitely become something to sell.
Depending on how much money you have in the bank or how many free transfers you have, there are several possible replacements for the next two game weeks.
If you have two free transfers to fundraise, I’d love to transfer to that Darwin Nunez (£8.9m). Liverpool’s next two games are Tottenham (a) and Southampton (h) and he looks set to take the majority of his team’s goalscoring chances. Although their results have been poor, it is largely due to their defense. They’ve actually looked good in the final third, scoring 23 league goals (fifth highest) at an expected goals (xG) rate of 21.42 (fifth).
Callum Wilson (£7.4m) Another great option is one that you can do in one shift. He has six goals and three assists this season, his biggest point total in a game week (19). Newcastle have looked great this season and you would expect them to score in their next two games (Southampton and Chelsea).
Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7m) His next two games are decent, with West Ham United playing both Crystal Palace and Leicester City. He has now started the last six games and will be their first choice up front Mikel Antonio (£7.0m). He has two goals in his last six league games.
If you are after a big difference, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) Your man. He belongs to just 0.6 per cent of FPL players and has started Everton’s last three games, scoring one goal. His side have some big fixtures, with Leicester City and Bournemouth next, and he is a Premier League goalscorer. He is also likely to be punished.
What to do with Bucayo Saka?
Saka (£8.0) He had to be substituted after 27 minutes after picking up an ankle injury against Nottingham Forest. It looks like he’ll be out for at least a week, which means it’s best to sell him. With only the next two games to look forward to, we have to be aggressive with our plans and transfers.
In some aspects, Phil Foden (£8.5m) is the obvious substitution. His fixtures have been excellent – pre-World Cup games Fulham (H) and Brentford (H) – and he has been in brilliant form. However, the concern is that he has been on the bench in the last two league games. This came as a huge surprise as he started City’s opening 10 league games.
Pep Guardiola spoke of fatigue after the Champions League game against Borussia Dortmund and named Foden as one of those players. As they have already qualified, City will likely field a weaker side against Sevilla on Wednesday, meaning Foden will start in the Premier League.
For those who already own Foden, Miguel Almiron (£5.6m), Leandro Trossard (£6.9m), and Marcus Rashford (£6.6m) Suitable Saka substitutes.
Almiron has been sensational this season with seven goals and one assist. only Kevin De Bruyne (£12.4m), Harry Kane (£11.6m) and Erling Haaland (£12.2m) His score is more than 79. Newcastle have scored 24 goals (fourth) with 23.10 (second) xG and are now clearly a force to be reckoned with.
Trossard is also enjoying his best season with seven goals and two assists. Brighton face Wolves and Aston Villa next, a good pair of fixtures.
Rashford had four goals and two assists and was indeed unfortunate not to have more attacking returns. Manchester United have turned the corner after a terrible start and they next face Aston Villa and Fulham, both intriguing games for attacking returns. Villa and Fulham are in the bottom six for expected goals scored and conceded (xGC), with Fulham dead last for the latter metric.
Sell or keep Haaland?
The biggest news before Gameweek started was whether Haaland would be fit. It appears he wasn’t, and it’s still unclear whether he’ll be fit for Gameweek 15 and beyond.
It’s a case of waiting now and we shouldn’t make any sudden transfers – he’s a very good asset. We should have clearer information by the end of the week.
However, if he turns out not to be fit for Gameweek 15 against Fulham it will certainly become a discussion. A move to Caen could be on the cards. Spurs play Liverpool and Leeds in the next two games, which are attractive fixtures for the attackers.
The downside here is that you lose a bit of value in Haaland and will have to pay more to get him back after Gameweek 16, especially if you got him earlier. However, if he leaves for the Fulham game he will at least have one price drop, and it’s worth remembering that we play for points, not team value.
If we’re in another touch situation where we’re not sure if he’ll start at Fulham or not, it’s a gamble to keep him. His tally could be huge and Brentford are at home after City.
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